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Brexit

Izvješće predviđa skladu rast u EU BDP-a za ostatak 2015

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skynews.img.1200.745Objavljeno veliko novo izvješće u srijedu (29. travnja) predviđa rast europskog BDP-a od 1.9% za ostatak ove godine.

Izvješće također predviđa nešto nižu stopu rasta od 1.6% u eurozoni.

Ovo su neka od glavnih nalaza BUSINESSEUROPE-ovih proljetnih ekonomskih perspektiva. Oni se temelje na istraživanju federacija članica diljem kontinenta.

Nalaze je predstavio generalni direktor Markus J. Beyrer na konferenciji za novinare u Bruxellesu.

Rekao je: „Naša najnovija prognoza uključuje dva pozitivna znaka: Imamo naznake da su potrošači malo sigurniji u svoju budućnost.

“And companies are increasingly seeking money to finance new investments. But I fear that access to finance will become an increasingly biting constraint once the economy picks up.” 

On je dodao: “Poboljšani izgledi uglavnom su rezultat sretnih okolnosti kao što su pad cijena nafte i slabiji euro. Kako bi dugoročno održala snažniji oporavak, Europa mora smanjiti strukturne prepreke za ulaganja, konkurentnost i rast. "

Oglas

Ekonomski oporavak lagano će ojačati 2016. godine, kaže BUSINESSEUROPE, kada predviđa rast BDP-a za 2.1% u EU i 1.9% u eurozoni.

The report added: “Domestic demand should gradually replace net exports as the main growth driver. Amidst signs of growing consumer confidence we expect EU private consumption growth of 1.9% in 2015. Businesses are reporting the highest demand for finance since the start of the crisis and we expect investment growth of 2.8% this year.

“While remaining at high levels, unemployment is expected to fall a little; to 9.5% (from 9.8%) in the EU and 10.6% (from 11.3%) in the EA in 2015, and to 9.0% (EU) and 10.1% (EA) in 2016. Country differences still remain high.”

U međuvremenu, nova studija kaže da bi izlazak iz Europske unije Britaniju mogao koštati 313 milijardi eura, dok bi druge države EU pretrpjele samo manje ekonomske gubitke ako se povuče.

Bertelsmann Stiftung, a German think tank, found that the UK economy would grow more slowly after losing the benefits of trading with its EU partners. The first study of the impact of ‘Brexit’ (British exit) for the EU as a whole predicted “long-term negative consequences” for the UK but a “significantly smaller” economic effect for the rest of the 28-nation bloc.

U Britaniji, sektori koji su najviše pogođeni gubitkom veze s jedinstvenim tržištem EU-a uključuju kemikalije, financijske usluge, automatizaciju i strojarstvo.

However, UKIP MEP Paul Nuttall, its deputy leader, says the report is “nothing but a propaganda exercise by a German-financed load of euro-federalists”.

He added: “What else could one expect from an organization that hires ex-eurocrats and runs a headline across its website proclaiming ‘The United Citizens of Europe?’

“At the top of Bertlesmann Foundation is its board of trustees, and one of them is former European Commissioner Viviane Reding. Last year she called for a full United States of Europe. Even our own pro-EU foreign office has described her as ‘an unrepentant federalist’ with ‘no understanding of the EU’s deep flaws.'”

Nuttall added: “One of the two authors of the report is Ulrich Schoof, who used to work for the European Commission and also for the European Parliament. We can hardly be surprised that the ‘proof’ this ex-eurocrat offers that leaving the EU would be a blow to the British economy is a slim eight pages long. Serious studies in Britain on the effects of Brext run to hundreds of pages. Many of these studies show that Brexit could lead to increased UK prosperity.”

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